Thailand’s government bonds dropped, sending the
benchmark three-year yield to a five-week high, on speculation the central bank
will refrain from cutting interest rates after exports rebounded last month.
The baht was steady.
Exports, which account for about two-thirds of
Southeast Asia’s second-largest economy, climbed 14 percent in October after
falling 0.1 percent the previous month, a Nov. 30 central bank report showed.
The Bank of Thailand kept borrowing costs unchanged Nov. 28 after an unexpected
cut in October, citing strong local demand and an improving global economy.
Governor Prasarn Trairatvorakul said a further reduction wasn’t needed.
“Recent data suggests the global economy as a whole
is beginning to bottom out, and the bond yields are rising to reflect less
likelihood of further rate cuts,” Tohru Nishihama, an economist at Dai-ichi
Life Research Institute Inc. in Tokyo. “Funds are flowing into Asia, especially
into bonds, and the recent yield gains reflect a position adjustment rather
than a long-term trend.”
The yield on the 3.125 percent securities due
December 2015 rose one basis point, or 0.01 percentage point, to 2.95 percent
as of 9:10 a.m. in Bangkok, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s the
highest level since Oct. 25.
The central bank kept its benchmark interest rate
unchanged at 2.75 percent last week after lowering it by a quarter of a
percentage point in October. Consumer prices rose 2.74 percent in November,
compared with a 3.32 percent gain the previous month, official data showed
yesterday.
The baht was unchanged from yesterday at 30.65 per
dollar, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. One-month implied volatility,
a measure of expected moves in exchange rates used to price options, dropped 14
basis points to 3.89 percent.